{"id":4604,"date":"2024-11-22T20:22:29","date_gmt":"2024-11-22T17:22:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/?p=4604"},"modified":"2026-03-05T17:32:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T17:32:40","slug":"%d8%a7%d8%aa%d8%ae%d8%a7%d8%b0-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%82%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%ac%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%a8%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mahira.app\/ar\/%d8%a7%d8%aa%d8%ae%d8%a7%d8%b0-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%82%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%ac%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%a8%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a | \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-normal break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"6be357b3-7fd0-4211-90e6-830603946e6f\" data-client-thread-id=\"WEB:6930f3a2-e113-4d95-a191-45965ed78c54\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-4o\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<p>\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0648 \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0641\u0649<a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/courses\"> \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a\u00a0<\/a> \u060c \u0648\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0646<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"> \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0649 \u0644 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a<\/h2>\n<p>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0633\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649\u061b \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0643\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u064f\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627. \u0644\u0636\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0631\u0624\u0627\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0646\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629. \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u0629 \u0648\u0625\u064a\u0635\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0628\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u0645\u060c \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0643\u0634\u0627\u0641\u064a (EDA) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631:<\/h2>\n<h2>1. \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 Predictive Modeling<\/h2>\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-normal break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"f350961a-d659-4134-bd67-beecd553ba6f\" data-client-thread-id=\"WEB:6930f3a2-e113-4d95-a191-45965ed78c54\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-4o\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642\u060c \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627. \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a \u0634\u0631\u062d \u062a\u0641\u0635\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a:<\/p>\n<h4><strong>1. \u062a\u062d\u0636\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Data Preparation)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/%d8%a3%d8%b3%d8%a7%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%b7%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%b9%d9%8a\">\u062a\u062d\u0636\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a<\/a> \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0646\u062c\u0627\u062d \u0623\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u0634\u0645\u0644:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Data Cleaning):<\/strong> \u0625\u0632\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0642\u0648\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621\u060c \u0648\u062d\u0630\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Data Processing):<\/strong> \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0646\u0633\u064a\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u0648\u0635 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a (Feature Selection):<\/strong> \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u0648\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0644\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0630\u0629 (Outlier Handling):<\/strong> \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627 (\u0625\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0625\u0632\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>2. \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c (Model Selection)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/marketing-agent\">\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/a> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a (Linear Regression):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0632\u0644.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a (Logistic Regression):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 (Time Series Analysis):<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0645\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0634\u062c\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 (Decision Tree):<\/strong> \u0644\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (Random Forest):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0635\u0628\u064a\u0629 (Neural Networks):<\/strong> \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u064a\u0642 (Deep Learning):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u0648\u0635.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>3. <a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/%d9%83%d9%8a%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%aa%d8%af%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%a8-%d9%86%d9%85%d9%88%d8%b0%d8%ac-%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%b7%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%b9%d9%8a\">\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/a> (Model Training)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0642\u0633\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a:<\/strong> \u062a\u064f\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (Train\/Test Split) \u0644\u0636\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0637:<\/strong> \u064a\u064f\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a (Hyperparameter Tuning):<\/strong> \u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>4. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (Validation and Testing)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621:<\/strong> \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0637\u0639 (Cross-Validation)\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%b7%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%b9%d9%8a-%d9%88%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-2025-%d8%ad%d9%84%d9%88%d9%84-%d9%85%d8%a8%d8%aa\">\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621<\/a>:<\/strong> \u064a\u064f\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644:\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0630\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 (RMSE):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 (Accuracy):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0645\u0635\u0641\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0633 (Confusion Matrix):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>5. <a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/discriminative-models-vs-generative-models\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624<\/a> (Prediction and Forecasting)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c:<\/strong> \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0631\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c:<\/strong> \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629) \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0627\u062a (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0646\u0627\u062c\u062d \u0623\u0648 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0627\u062c\u062d).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>6. \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c (Model Optimization)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0628\u0631:\n<ul>\n<li>\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 (Ensemble Methods).<\/li>\n<li>\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u0644\u062a\u0645\u062b\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0636:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u062c\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0635\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3><strong>\u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/%d8%a3%d9%87%d9%85-%d9%85%d8%b5%d8%b7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b5%d8%b7%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%b9%d9%8a\">\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/a> \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0646\u064a\u0631\u0629:<\/strong> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0627\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0628\u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629:<\/strong> \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644:<\/strong> \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0629.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0644\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f<\/strong>:\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itu.int\">&#8220;International Telecommunication Union (ITU)<\/a>: \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062b\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 1.7em; font-weight: bold;\">2. \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-normal break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"cfb094c4-8ae8-4cf5-b924-198c428b6c2b\" data-client-thread-id=\"WEB:6930f3a2-e113-4d95-a191-45965ed78c54\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-4o\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/%d9%85%d8%a7-%d9%87%d9%88-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%80-custom-gpt\">\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/a> \u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629. \u064a\u064f\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629 \u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>1. \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0624\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0627\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0628\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644.<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u0633\u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627\u061f&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>2. \u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0644\u0629<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u0627\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629:<\/strong> \u062d\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>3. \u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a (Assumption Building)<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a:<\/strong> \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629. \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a:\n<ul>\n<li>\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 5%).<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0639\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a).<\/li>\n<li>\u0628\u064a\u0626\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a:<\/strong> \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u062f\u0644\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>4. \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u062a\u064f\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c. \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0634\u0645\u0644:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a (Baseline Scenario):<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 2% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629.&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 (Intervention Scenario):<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u064a\u062a\u0636\u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 5% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629.&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a (Adverse Scenario):<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u064a\u064f\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0629.&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h4><strong>5. \u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0625\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0635\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629:<\/strong> \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0646\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u0644\u0648 (Monte Carlo Simulation).<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0645\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a:<\/strong> \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644 Excel \u0648Power BI \u0648MATLAB \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>6. \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u064a\u0634\u0645\u0644:\n<ul>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629: \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0645\u0646 2% \u0625\u0644\u0649 5%.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629: \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>7. \u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u060c \u0642\u0645 \u0628\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637\u0629 (Risks) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0629 (Opportunities).<\/li>\n<li>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644:\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0641\u0631\u0635\u0629:<\/strong> \u0641\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u064f\u0633\u0631\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629:<\/strong> \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u060c \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>8. \u0648\u0636\u0639 \u062e\u0637\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0627\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a:<\/strong> \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a\u060c \u062d\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0639\u0632\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062e\u0637\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0626:<\/strong> \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0643 \u062e\u0637\u0637 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u060c \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>1. \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a:<\/strong> \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 2% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639: \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2050.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644:<\/strong> \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 5% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639: \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 2035.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a:<\/strong> \u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 1%. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639: \u062a\u0623\u062e\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0639\u062f 2060.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>2. \u0641\u064a \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a:<\/strong> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644:<\/strong> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a:<\/strong> \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0641\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646:<\/strong> \u064a\u062a\u064a\u062d \u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u062c\u0622\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a:<\/strong> \u064a\u0648\u0641\u0631 \u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644:<\/strong> \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0644\u0647\u0627.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0639\u0632\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631:<\/strong> \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0643\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062c\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Excel):<\/strong> \u0644\u0625\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0621 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 (Tableau\/Power BI):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0646\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u0644\u0648 (Monte Carlo Simulation):<\/strong> \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629 \u0642\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0638\u0644 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646. \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u0629 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-4606 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/marketing-byai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630-\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a-\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629-\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621-\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a-\u0641\u0649-\u0627\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627-300x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a<\/h2>\n<div class=\"flex-1 overflow-hidden\">\n<div class=\"h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-vgnmr-79elbk h-full\">\n<div class=\"react-scroll-to-bottom--css-vgnmr-1n7m0yu\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm md:pb-9\">\n<article class=\"w-full scroll-mb-[var(--thread-trailing-height,150px)] text-token-text-primary focus-visible:outline-2 focus-visible:outline-offset-[-4px]\" dir=\"auto\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-9\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\">\n<div class=\"m-auto text-base py-[18px] px-3 md:px-4 w-full md:px-5 lg:px-4 xl:px-5\">\n<div class=\"mx-auto flex flex-1 gap-4 text-base md:gap-5 lg:gap-6 md:max-w-3xl lg:max-w-[40rem] xl:max-w-[48rem]\">\n<div class=\"group\/conversation-turn relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex-col gap-1 md:gap-3\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col flex-grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 whitespace-normal break-words [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-5\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"fe793c1b-a02a-4642-8f79-12ea285756ad\" data-client-thread-id=\"WEB:6930f3a2-e113-4d95-a191-45965ed78c54\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-4o\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[3px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<p>\u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648. \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u062c\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u062c\u0647\u0648\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a (Baseline Scenario)<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>\u0648\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0632\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a 2009 \u06482023 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0628 2% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 <strong>2050<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0637\u064a\u0621:<\/strong> \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 2% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064d \u0644\u062a\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0633\u064a\u0639\u0632\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u062a\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u062a\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 (Intervention Scenario)<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>\u0648\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u064a\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0645\u0646 2% \u0625\u0644\u0649 5%.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a: \u0645\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 <strong>2035<\/strong>\u060c \u0642\u0628\u0644 15 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648:<\/strong> \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 5% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0642\u0641\u0632\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629:<\/strong> \u0625\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0633\u0631\u0639 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0639\u0632\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a:<\/strong> \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u062a\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0646\u0634\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0626\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0632 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0639 \u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>1. \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641\u0629:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062b\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>2. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u061f<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0639\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>3. \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635:<\/strong> \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0625\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>4. \u062a\u062e\u0635\u064a\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u062e\u0635\u064a\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u062d \u0623\u0648 \u0642\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0644\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062a\u064a\u062d \u0641\u0647\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u064b\u0627 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0648\u062f \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0639\u0632\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u062c\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u0623\u062e\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644) \u064a\u062a\u064a\u062d \u0648\u0636\u0639 \u062e\u0637\u0637 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0629:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0631\u0648\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0639\u0632\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u0644\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a: \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a<a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\"> World Bank<\/a> \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<div class=\"markdown prose w-full break-words dark:prose-invert light\">\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a:<\/strong> \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0638\u0627\u0631 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2050 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0641\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644:<\/strong> \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2035 \u0645\u0639 \u0641\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0628\u0631\u0632 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0628\u0644 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0648 \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0641\u0649 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a\u00a0 \u060c \u0648\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0649 \u0644 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0633\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649\u061b \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0643\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u064f\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627. \u0644\u0636\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0631\u0624\u0627\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0646\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629. \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u0629 \u0648\u0625\u064a\u0635\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0628\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u0645\u060c \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628. \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0643\u0634\u0627\u0641\u064a (EDA) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631: 1. \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 Predictive Modeling \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642\u060c \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627. \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a \u0634\u0631\u062d \u062a\u0641\u0635\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a: 1. \u062a\u062d\u0636\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Data Preparation) \u062a\u062d\u0636\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0646\u062c\u0627\u062d \u0623\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u0634\u0645\u0644: \u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Data Cleaning): \u0625\u0632\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0642\u0648\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621\u060c \u0648\u062d\u0630\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a. \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a (Data Processing): \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0646\u0633\u064a\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u0648\u0635 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629. \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a (Feature Selection): \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u0648\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0644\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0630\u0629 (Outlier Handling): \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627 (\u0625\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0625\u0632\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627). 2. \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c (Model Selection) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a (Linear Regression): \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0632\u0644. \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a (Logistic Regression): \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646. \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 (Time Series Analysis): \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0645\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0629. \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629: \u0634\u062c\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 (Decision Tree): \u0644\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (Random Forest): \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0635\u0628\u064a\u0629 (Neural Networks): \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629. \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u064a\u0642 (Deep Learning): \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u0648\u0635. 3. \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c (Model Training) \u062a\u0642\u0633\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a: \u062a\u064f\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (Train\/Test Split) \u0644\u0636\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0637: \u064a\u064f\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628. \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a (Hyperparameter Tuning): \u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644. 4. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (Validation and Testing) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621: \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0637\u0639 (Cross-Validation)\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a. \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621: \u064a\u064f\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644: \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0630\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 (RMSE): \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 (Accuracy): \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0627\u062a. \u0645\u0635\u0641\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0633 (Confusion Matrix): \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f. 5. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 (Prediction and Forecasting) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c: \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0631\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629. \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c: \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629) \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0627\u062a (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0646\u0627\u062c\u062d \u0623\u0648 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0627\u062c\u062d). 6. \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c (Model Optimization) \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0628\u0631: \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a. \u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 (Ensemble Methods). \u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a. \u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a: \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 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\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a (Assumption Building) \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a: \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629. \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a: \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 5%). \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0639\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a). \u0628\u064a\u0626\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a). \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a: \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u062f\u0644\u0629. 4. \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c. \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0634\u0645\u0644: \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a (Baseline Scenario): \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a. \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 2% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629.&#8221; \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 (Intervention Scenario): \u064a\u062a\u0636\u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a. \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 5% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629.&#8221; \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a (Adverse Scenario): \u064a\u064f\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629. \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: &#8220;\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0629.&#8221; 5. \u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629: \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629. \u062a\u0635\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629: \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0646\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u0644\u0648 (Monte Carlo Simulation). \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0645\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a: \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644 Excel \u0648Power BI \u0648MATLAB \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a. 6. \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629. \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u064a\u0634\u0645\u0644: \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629: \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0645\u0646 2% \u0625\u0644\u0649 5%. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629: \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629. 7. \u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u060c \u0642\u0645 \u0628\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637\u0629 (Risks) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0629 (Opportunities). \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644: \u0641\u0631\u0635\u0629: \u0641\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u064f\u0633\u0631\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a. \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629: \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u060c \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4607,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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